The federal deficit will increase to $1.6 trillion this year or 11.2 percent of the GDP, a percentage that has not been seen since the end of World War II. The Congressional Budget Office says the number, although high, is actually slightly lower than originally predicted because the U.S. managed to reduce the Troubled Asset Relief Program by $200 billion.
The dismal numbers are primarily due to a decrease in tax money collected by the federal government because of the economic downturn.
The news may pressure Obama to recalculate his health care pitch as the projected debt could push the country further into dangerous territory. Senior Republican on the House Ways and Means Committee Rep. Dave Camp (R-Mich.) said, “If the House Democrats’ unaffordable $1 trillion health are bill wasn’t dead before, it should be now.”
Along with the fiscal concerns, unemployment is expected to hit 10 percent before the end of the year and stay there through the beginning of 2010. It is not until 2013 or 2014 that “more normal levels” will be seen said U.S. economist Dean Baker.
“The budget deficit is apt to become a greater political concern,” Goldman Sachs economist Alec Phillips said Friday.
In an effort to address a budget fiasco he inherited from George W. Bush, Obama promised to cut the deficit in half by the end of his term in 2013. However, the new numbers are startling and seem to indicate Obama won’t be able to fufill those promises. White House budget director Peter Orszag and Christina Romer, chairman of the president’s Council of Economic Advisers, maintain that despite the resulting debt, government efforts like the stimulus package were necessary to keep the economy from failing completely.






August 26th, 2009 at 11:39 am
Inaction cost, $9trillion over the next decade, can not be compared to the balance between estimate and outcome in a worst case of scenario. Time does not fix endless greed and energy depletion.
When the public health is also one of commodity like a house, we come to a tragic and unthinkable conclusion : As to for-profit business, the more and longer ill patients get, the more profits they make, and it will debilitate the overall economy involving education for the future, not to mention continued bankruptcy of middle class.
Of young adults ages 19 to 29, 13.2 million, or 29 percent, lacked coverage in 2007, and that implies the total of this promising reform will be cheaper than expected, I guess.
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